Western Conference Finals: Dallas 4 - OKC 1

No doubt that Dirk Nowitzki is the story and probable MVP of the playoffs, if Dallas wins it all. But at least according to ezPM, Jason Kidd had an incredible  Conference Finals against OKC, leading Dallas in WARP (1.6) and ezPM100 (~12). More than half of those ratings are due to the defensive side, which as you might have guessed, means that his counterpart — Russell Westbrook — had a terrible series on the offensive end. Overall, Dallas won the series 2.82 to 2.12 in WARP. Dirk had a great series with 1 WARP and ~6.0 ezPM100. On the other side, James Harden and Kevin Durant had virtually identical WARP totals (~0.9), but Harden had the higher ezPM100 rating (5.65 vs. 3.34). It should be noted, however, that Thabo Sefalosha had a 10.7 rating, most of it due to his defensive contribution (7.36).

NAME TEAM POS POSS GS WARP EZPM100 OFF O100 DEF D100 REB REB100 ORR DRR OEFF USG OWN OEFG
2.82 30.78 8.56 -24.01
Jason Kidd DAL 1.0 338 5 1.60 11.95 15.48 4.58 23.76 7.03 1.16 0.34 35.29% 72.00% 24.09 19.01% 27.51 37.65%
Dirk Nowitzki DAL 4.0 376 5 1.08 5.97 22.88 6.09 9.28 2.47 -9.69 -2.58 13.04% 59.52% 19.16 31.76% 17.82 44.83%
Shawn Marion DAL 3.5 307 5 0.68 3.84 1.78 0.58 11.79 3.84 -1.80 -0.59 27.91% 64.00% 3.12 18.61% 28.66 45.00%
Jose Barea DAL 1.0 154 0 0.41 5.23 14.73 9.57 -6.95 -4.51 0.28 0.18 23.08% 78.57% 28.49 33.57% 19.48 52.08%
Tyson Chandler DAL 5.0 291 5 0.25 -0.58 0.25 0.09 -5.07 -1.74 3.15 1.08 61.11% 56.36% 0.87 9.81% 12.37 82.35%
Corey Brewer DAL 2.5 8 0 -0.03 -14.42 -1.15 -14.32 0.27 3.38 -0.28 -3.48 0.00% NA -41.82 34.25% 37.50 100.00%
Jason Terry DAL 1.5 315 0 -0.03 -3.62 -6.89 -2.19 3.33 1.06 -7.85 -2.49 4.55% 53.85% -10.06 21.76% 20.95 56.25%
Ian Mahinmi DAL 5.0 3 0 -0.06 -66.67 0.00 0.00 -2.00 -66.67 0.00 0.00 NA NA NA 0.00% 66.67 NA
Brendan Haywood DAL 5.0 141 0 -0.24 -8.82 5.91 4.19 -16.72 -11.86 -1.63 -1.15 44.44% 43.75% 39.64 10.57% 20.57 73.33%
DeShawn Stevenson DAL 2.0 184 5 -0.37 -9.75 -10.47 -5.69 -3.89 -2.11 -3.57 -1.94 0.00% 66.67% -42.40 13.42% 20.65 62.50%
Peja Stojakovic DAL 3.0 158 0 -0.48 -13.13 -11.74 -7.43 -5.24 -3.31 -3.77 -2.38 7.69% 63.64% -39.22 18.94% 17.09 70.83%
2.12 -5.87 -26.02 24.01
James Harden OKC 2.0 315 0 0.88 5.65 15.30 4.86 -3.59 -1.14 6.08 1.93 30.00% 92.86% 25.70 18.90% 20.32 48.98%
Kevin Durant OKC 3.0 421 5 0.87 3.34 1.07 0.25 10.04 2.39 2.95 0.70 33.33% 76.60% 0.83 30.45% 23.28 53.01%
Thabo Sefolosha OKC 2.0 180 5 0.78 10.71 1.98 1.10 13.24 7.36 4.04 2.25 30.00% 100.00% 12.11 9.09% 27.22 46.15%
Nick Collison OKC 4.5 248 0 0.62 4.77 6.91 2.79 -2.91 -1.17 7.83 3.16 60.00% 44.44% 21.27 13.09% 18.15 69.05%
Daequan Cook OKC 2.0 87 0 0.12 0.99 1.38 1.58 -0.52 -0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00% 100.00% 24.10 6.56% 31.03 50.00%
Kendrick Perkins OKC 5.0 258 5 0.08 -2.33 -3.89 -1.51 -0.37 -0.14 -1.75 -0.68 32.56% 58.62% -15.44 9.75% 15.50 54.17%
Nate Robinson OKC 1.5 11 0 -0.03 -13.42 -2.38 -21.59 0.90 8.17 0.00 0.00 NA NA -107.00 20.18% 9.09 0.00%
Nazr Mohammed OKC 5.0 12 0 -0.11 -31.93 -1.86 -15.52 -1.69 -14.10 -0.28 -2.32 50.00% 0.00% -107.00 14.50% 8.33 100.00%
Serge Ibaka OKC 4.5 267 5 -0.13 -4.93 -9.06 -3.39 -8.86 -3.32 4.75 1.78 41.94% 72.00% -21.39 15.87% 26.59 60.38%
Russell Westbrook OKC 1.0 363 5 -0.45 -7.35 -13.12 -3.61 -16.64 -4.59 3.08 0.85 36.67% 72.22% -9.51 37.99% 16.80 52.17%
Eric Maynor OKC 1.0 128 0 -0.50 -16.03 -2.20 -1.72 -15.62 -12.20 -2.70 -2.11 10.00% 62.50% -8.87 19.34% 22.66 65.91%

3 thoughts on “Western Conference Finals: Dallas 4 - OKC 1”

  1. Westbrook at very near the worst impact in the series? Could some the mainstream media and others be right in their criticism this time? Could some of the critics of the mainstream media and supporters of Westbrook be wrong this time? A lot of people will believe what they want and ignore what they want. But one can check the numbers if one wants to. EZPM and other stuff.

    1. I think it's clear the biggest difference is the counterpart defense credit. My thinking is that over a few games like this, it can give results like this. Let's face it, Westbrook was horrible. Over the course of a season, a guy plays everyone in the league, and things tend to average out. If you just look at O100, Dirk comes out a little ahead of Kidd. Also, Dirk really gets dinged for rebounding, maybe undeservedly so, given his role on the team. But still, the metric doesn't know what everyone's roles are supposed to be or where they play on the floor.

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